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Public disclosures only. Scores flag unusual patterns and are not evidence of wrongdoing. Not investment advice.

RH CHAIN…
OverviewDaily BriefLiveCongressCorporate InsidersGovernment MoneyPolitical InfluenceInstitutionsWashington NetworkFollow the PowerDisclosure ClockAI InvestigatorWatchlistConvergenceINSIDER AlphaSignal ledgerHistorical ReplayRobinhood ChainProofTradingTokenProAccountMethodologyMatch reviewLaunch readiness

Backtest run

01Overview02Daily Brief03Live04Congress05Corporate Insiders06Government Money07Political Influence08Institutions09Washington Network10Follow the Power11Disclosure Clock12AI Investigator13Watchlist
ConvergenceINSIDER AlphaSignal ledgerHistorical ReplayRobinhood ChainProofTradingTokenProAccountMethodologyMatch reviewLaunch readiness
OverviewDaily BriefLiveCongressCorporate InsidersGovernment MoneyPolitical InfluenceInstitutionsWashington NetworkFollow the PowerDisclosure ClockAI InvestigatorWatchlistConvergenceINSIDER AlphaSignal ledgerHistorical ReplayRobinhood ChainProofTradingTokenProAccountMethodologyMatch reviewLaunch readiness
Data sources
SEC FORM 441m ago
HOUSE PTR41m ago
SEC 13F41m ago
ROBINHOOD CHAIN41m ago
INSIDER Alpha · run #45

Donalds: buy after each purchase is disclosed

Buy every stock Byron Donalds's House reports show being purchased (by the member, a spouse or a dependent), at the close of the first trading day after the report is published. Sell 60 trading days later. Option purchases are simulated as shares of the underlying, because option prices are not available.

All strategies

Equity versus SPY

Experimental signal
+15.8%−32.2%
Mar 9, 2026—— Strategy −26.7%—— SPY +15.7%Oct 9, 2026
Total return
−26.7%
Mar 9, 2026 – Oct 9, 2026
Annualized
−41.1%
over 7 months
SPY, same dates
+15.7%
buy and hold
Excess vs SPY
−42.3%
Max drawdown
−32.2%
Closed trades
7
1 still open
Win rate
29%
Profit factor
0.60
gross gains ÷ gross losses
Mean trade
−3.4%
95% CI −15.9% to +9.4%
Mean excess per trade
−11.1%
95% CI −25.6% to +4.0%
Entry
Close of the first trading day after publication
Exit
Close 60 trading days after entry
Costs
5 bps commission + 10 bps slippage, each side
Prices
Yahoo Finance chart API · Splits and dividends (adjusted close)
Benchmark
SPY, same entry and exit dates
Signals
16 records published Mar 6, 2026 – Sep 15, 2026
Price coverage
7 of 7 tickers
Run
#45 · Nov 5, 13:45 UTC · strategy v1 · engine v1.0.0 · params bfb42762d499b0dc
Not traded
8 — the ticker was already held from an earlier signal

Simulated trades · 8

SignalPublicEntryExitNetSPYExcessEvidence
NFLXSpouse bought NFLX ($1,001 - $15,000)Sep 15, 2026Sep 16, 2026$76.41open−13.4%+1.9%−15.3%Filing

Evidence

ZTSSelf bought ZTS ($1,001 - $15,000)Jul 15, 2026Jul 16, 2026$75.86Oct 9, 2026$74.31−2.3%+4.0%−6.3%Filing

Evidence

LLYSpouse bought LLY ($1,001 - $15,000)
May 13, 2026
May 14, 2026$1003.53
Aug 11, 2026$1213.28
+20.5%
+3.3%
+17.3%
Filing

Evidence

MRVLSpouse bought MRVL ($1,001 - $15,000)May 13, 2026May 14, 2026$182.50Aug 11, 2026$212.26+16.0%+3.3%+12.7%Filing

Evidence

NFLXSelf bought NFLX ($1,001 - $15,000)Apr 8, 2026Apr 9, 2026$102.05Jul 7, 2026$76.18−25.6%+10.3%−35.8%Filing

Evidence

PYPLSelf bought PYPL ($1,001 - $15,000)Apr 8, 2026Apr 9, 2026$45.72Jul 7, 2026$45.54−0.7%+10.3%−10.9%Filing

Evidence

NOWSelf bought NOW ($1,001 - $15,000)Mar 6, 2026Mar 9, 2026$121.93Jun 3, 2026$117.90−3.6%+11.5%−15.1%Filing

Evidence

TTDSpouse bought TTD ($1,001 - $15,000)Mar 6, 2026Mar 9, 2026$28.56Jun 3, 2026$20.56−28.2%+11.5%−39.7%Filing

Evidence

Open positions are marked at the latest close and are excluded from every statistic above.